Can the optimal cervical length for placing ultrasound-indicated cerclage be identified?

Publication/Presentation Date

7-1-2016

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess a continuum of cervical length (CL) cut-offs for the efficacy of ultrasound-indicated cerclage in women with previous spontaneous preterm birth (PTB).

METHODS: This was a planned secondary analysis of a multicenter randomized clinical trial of ultrasound-indicated cerclage for the prevention of PTB in high-risk women. The efficacy of cerclage for preventing recurrent PTB <  35, <  32 and <  24 weeks' gestation was assessed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Odds ratios (ORs) and CIs were estimated for a range of CL cut-offs using bootstrap regression. The 2.5(th) and 97.5(th) percentiles of bootstrapped ORs determined the CIs. Results were illustrated using smoothed curves superimposed on estimated ORs by CL cut-off.

RESULTS: Of 301 women with a CL <  25 mm, 142 underwent ultrasound-indicated cerclage and 159 did not have cerclage placement. The few cases with CL <  10 mm limited the evaluation to CL cut-offs between <  10 mm and <  25 mm. For PTB <  35 weeks, ORs in women with a cerclage and CL <  25 mm were statistically significantly lower than in those without cerclage, and efficacy was maintained at smaller CL cut-offs. Results were similar for PTB <  32 weeks. For PTB <  24 weeks, results differed, with ORs increasing toward unity (no benefit), with wide CIs, for CL cut-offs between <  10 mm and <  15 mm, attributed to the small number of births <  24 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS: The efficacy of ultrasound-indicated cerclage in women with previous spontaneous PTB varies by action point CL cut-off and by PTB gestational age of interest. Cerclage significantly reduces the risk of PTB <  35 and <  32 weeks, at CL cut-offs between <  10 mm and <  25 mm, with the greatest reduction at shorter CL, affirming that women with prior spontaneous PTB and a short CL are appropriate candidates for ultrasound-indicated cerclage. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Volume

48

Issue

1

First Page

43

Last Page

47

ISSN

1469-0705

Disciplines

Business Administration, Management, and Operations | Health and Medical Administration | Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods

PubMedID

26277877

Department(s)

Administration and Leadership

Document Type

Article

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