Multiple simultaneous predictors of gestational age. An application of Bayes' theorem.
Publication/Presentation Date
1-1-1988
Abstract
Most obstetricians share the belief that an estimate of gestational age based on several clinical measures that agree with one another is more accurate than an estimate based on a single measurement. This paper presents a formal justification for this belief by applying Bayes' theorem to calculate the probability of a fetus being a certain gestational age by using information from several clinically established single predictors. The application of Bayes' theorem justifies the use of multiple measures of gestational age in individual ultrasound examinations and the use of serial ultrasound studies in the third trimester to more accurately estimate gestational age. The same technique could be applied to obstetric research studies that need to establish accurate gestational dating.
Volume
5
Issue
1
First Page
44
Last Page
50
ISSN
0735-1631
Published In/Presented At
Rose, B. I., & Lamb, E. J. (1988). Multiple simultaneous predictors of gestational age. An application of Bayes' theorem. American journal of perinatology, 5(1), 44–50. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-2007-999652
Disciplines
Medicine and Health Sciences
PubMedID
3276338
Department(s)
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology
Document Type
Article